Robots are actually liberating human beings, allowing us to use our intellectual intelligence more efficiently at a more liberal level. While robots are taking simple tasks, they also weaken the society's demand for simple industrial products and low-level services. Since the day the species was born, humans have always had thousands of fears, and today there is one more: robots. In 2016, the artificial intelligence boom triggered by Google's artificial intelligence "Alpha Dog" shocked people's imagination: What should robots do to grab human diet? This upsurge is rather a panic.

Many media have screamed at Oxford University's prediction that about 47% of jobs in the US will be replaced by robots in the next 20 years. The “world factory” in China is even worse, with 77% of jobs facing automation “high risk”.

77% of the work will be replaced by robots? Does it mean that China will welcome the unemployment boom? not that simple.

Robots replace 77% of the workforce? Temporary difficulties

Workers don’t want to do it, robots have a chance

Template for the world workshop - Foxconn introduced 60,000 robot replacement workers in the past two years, and said it would increase investment in robots.

But this is not because the robot has squeezed people away, but because it is not coming.

The industry network commentator "Little Knife" said, "Because the current job market has begun to appear, especially in some hard-working industries, it is difficult to recruit people, and the chances of being able to retain people are not great. Is a good choice.

Foxconn's continuous introduction of robots and increased research and development and investment in this area may also be a helpless move. ”

Foxconn currently has 1.2 million employees. Foxconn's practical actions show that robots are not cheaper than traditional cheap labor. A new generation of workers can't stand the dirty, dangerous and boring posts, which brings opportunities to robots.

Even if a large number of jobs are replaced by robots in the future, it is because people have found more interesting work.

The employment rate of robotic countries is the highest

The robot was invented after World War II. But now the robot penetration rate is only 10%. Because in most factories, if the people are completely removed, let the robot pick the beam, the work efficiency is not high. The factory introduced robots and artificial intelligence just to optimize the process and make up for the negligence.

Similar to the global industrial robot market, the three major types of industrial robots in China are welding, handling, and spraying. The automotive industry is the big head of robots. Other industries do not use much.

The four automobile manufacturing countries of the United States, Germany, Japan and South Korea are the top industrial robots, and their employment situation is the best in developed countries. In 2015, the average density of manufacturing robots in the world was 69, and South Korea was 531. Japan and Germany were second only to South Korea, 305 and 301. The density of industrial robots in China is only about one-seventh that of Japan.

From this point of view, increasing the employment rate and increasing the penetration rate of robots are parallel. China's experience also proves this: between 2005 and 2014, the annual growth rate of China's industrial robot sales remained at 25%. In the same period, China's demand for workers has been urgent.

Almost all industrial robot experts believe that the robotic gap in China is still huge, and the demand for robots will remain strong for more than ten years.

In the short term, the two are still cooperative.

"The development of industrial robots is not to replace the labor of workers, but to work with workers." Industrial robot expert, Dr. Eberhard Cross, CTO of KUKA, Germany, recently said that the automation of manufacturing that was popular 25 years ago failed. The main reason is that it cannot interact with workers, workers do not participate in the production process and determine the quality of products. In the German Industry 4.0 model, robots and workers are in a division of labor. Some jobs are mainly workers, and some work is based on robots.

Professor Klaus Silin, a robotic expert at the University of Würzburg, Germany, said: "The use of robots is for people and robots to work together. Robots can carry heavy objects and move accurately, but people have better planning and ability to perceive the environment. More flexible than robots, so we need people and robots to interact and develop their own strengths. Now that the global population is aging, and you want to maintain the current scale of production, you must use robots."

The collaborative robot launched by American company Rethink has been very popular in the market in recent years. It can cooperate with people to control machines, test boards and do other high-precision things. Li Yinghao, general manager of Rethink Asia Pacific, believes that robots cannot replace people. It is more appropriate for the robot to work with people. The reason why industrial robots have limited development space for decades is because the investment is very large and the cycle is long.

A huge investment in an industrial robot is for long-term use. In addition to the processes in a few industries, it is impossible to have long-term unchanging production, so the production of specialized robots is often impossible.

Robots are liberating human talent

This year, due to the excellent performance of Alpha dogs and other artificial intelligence projects, many people began to seriously consider the possibility of robots replacing white-collar work. For example, simple editing, file retrieval and the like do not need to find a secretary.

Will automation eliminate work? More than 200 years ago, many people in the UK who just invented steam engines and textile machines thought so. A large number of workers complained that the machine had taken over the road, so they joined the Luddah movement to destroy the machine.

Later, the idea was called "Lude's mistake": "The application of manpower-saving technology in production will lead to unemployment." The reason why it is called fallacy is because if this concept is true, then the world should be unemployed everywhere, not a hundred industries. . Contrary to Lourdes's mistakes, Ford Motor Company used the assembly line to produce more cars, and on the other hand paid workers high wages to buy cars (high wages in exchange for high standards of labor). This is also a typical modern economy: the application of automation technology has led to price declines, rising demand and increased employment.

Of course, 200 years of experience may not be able to apply the 21st century artificial intelligence movement. But we can still expect robots to create more high-intelligence and high-standard jobs while improving work efficiency and product quality, and improving labor safety. Traditional positions have indeed been replaced by a large number of people, but the number of new jobs is more than enough.

Not to mention that every position requires robots to improve efficiency. Kevin Kelly, a well-known Internet commentator, said: In the future, those jobs that are sensitive to efficiency will be replaced by robots; work that is less demanding and creative is still done by people.

At least one thing is certain: while robots are doing simple work, they also weaken society's demand for simple industrial products and low-level services. Robots are actually liberating human beings, allowing us to use our intellectual intelligence more efficiently at a more liberal level. When the furniture on the assembly line is easy to afford, the money paid to the carpenter is much more than before. If you can provide some advanced gadgets that are not the same, you can still go to work happily in the future.

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In the past decade, the Chinese robot industry has achieved rapid development both in quantity and in technology.

According to data provided by the Russian Robot Association, the growth rate of industrial robot supply in China has reached 17% from 2000 to 2015. The density of robots used in China has reached 49 per 10,000 people. According to the high-yield research data of industrial research institutions, the output value of domestic robots reached 1.64 billion yuan in 2015, and the demand in 2015 was 65,000 units. The market share increased to 15%, and the output value increased by 55%.

According to a survey conducted by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology in early 2016, there are more than 800 companies involved in robot production and integrated applications in China. Chinese robots have also appeared in many independent brands.

From 2014 to 2015, local governments have successively issued nearly 80 policies related to the development of the robot industry, and 42 robot-related industrial parks have been built or proposed nationwide. Since then, in 2016, China's robotics companies have blossomed everywhere. According to statistics, as of September, the number of robot companies in China has increased to 4,325, an increase of 12.58%.

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