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According to the ranking of the world's top 10 packaging and testing plants in 2009, Yangtze Electronics, the mainland's packaging and testing plant, jumped to the top 10 for the first time. Although the company's revenue and the top five major packaging and testing plants still have a huge gap and have not yet formed a threat, the mainland semiconductor market has the advantages of economic size and clustering effect. Its strength should not be underestimated. Beyond Taiwan by 2020.
Asahitsu Group held a media seminar on the 20th. According to the April IMF and the July Gartner forecast, the director of the company will observe the semiconductor industry with global GDP changes. The US GDP forecast for 2010 is about 14.8 trillion US dollars, accounting for one-third of the world's total. Although the annual GDP growth rate of the United States is only 3.3%, the converted amount is also equivalent to one or two Taiwanese production values.
It is worth noting that mainland China has surpassed Japan in the second quarter of 2010 and jumped to the second largest economy in the world. It is forecasted that GDP in 2010 will reach 5.4 trillion U.S. dollars, equivalent to one-third of the U.S. market and global GDP. 10.5%. If one considers the factors under which the yuan is undervalued, its revised GDP should be 8.8 trillion US dollars, so all sectors value the mainland market. According to the forecast of Credit Suisse, the personal consumption power of the mainland will surpass the United States in 2020 and become the first largest economy, indicating that the consumption capacity in emerging regions is rising.
According to the director of the Bank of Japan and the moon, similarly, for the semiconductor industry, the output value of mainland semiconductors may also exceed the scale of Taiwan by 2020, and the time may even be earlier. At present, the 3C field in the mainland has the economic scale and cluster effectiveness!
In terms of the packaging and testing industry, Continental Changjiang Electronics ranked the 8th largest company in the world in terms of turnover in 2009. This is the first time that mainland packaging and testing companies have entered the world's top 10 packaging and testing plants, and it is expected that Changjiang Electronics will also The clustering effect is significant = long, but its scale is still far from the top five major packaging and testing plants, and it is still not a threat. Similar to the second-tier to fourth-tier plants in Taiwan, the size of the mainland seal-and-measure plant competes for orders in the low-cost, low-footage, and oveRFlow economic model, and these companies still have value.
According to Gartner's statistics from the research institute, based on 2009 revenue estimates, Taiwan ranks half of the world's top 10 manufacturers of sealing and testing equipment, including the headlights of Sun Moonlight, including Silicon Products, Licheng, Nanmao and KYEC, and others. The five non-Taiwan-based companies are Amkor of the United States, STATSChipPAC of Singapore, UTAC, Continental Changjiang Electronics, and Unisem Malaysia.
Even if Japan's GDP ranking drops to the third level despite the mainland market, its market strength cannot be ignored. The output value of Japan's GDP is 5.3 trillion US dollars, but the country has a 20% output value in the semiconductor industry. With the appreciation of the Japanese currency, in order to reduce costs, the exodus should be more positive than other regions. Therefore, the importance of Japan and the mainland market is similar.
The future development momentum of semiconductors comes from three aspects. The director of the moon and the moon will call it the long tail theory, leapfrog innovation and emerging regions. In the long tail theory, the global PC penetration rate is only 20%, and the mobile phone is 58%. Both are still 80% and 42% of the business opportunities can be won, including the front and rear segments and the EMS industry can be developed Department. In terms of leapfrog innovations, in addition to existing information, communications and PCs, the future looks like life sciences and green energy potential opportunities in the future. As for the emerging regions, MediaTek is a typical example of success, and its special cottage service has laid a big part in the mainland.
The director of the moon and moonlight pointed out that semiconductor has always been an exciting and unpredictable industry. The semiconductor years of the past 60 years are only at the beginning of its development and there are still promising futures. In the short-term, it takes a leading position by integrating internal long-tail effects and manufacturing capabilities; in the long-term, it wins a full victory in the market through global design capabilities and rapid innovation.